← Level 5 – Modeller

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Scenario manager

Save versions of the model — an optimistic and a pessimistic week.

One cell F2 is not enough for history

The lever F2 = 1.2 for “worse spending” you know from scenarios. Scenario manager (Scenarios) saves a whole set of cells — F1, F2, a few spendings — under a name Normal week, Ice cream, Saving. You switch the scenario, the table shows a different result without deleting handmade versions.

The Modeller works with “what if” more professionally than a copy of the sheet.

Scenarios on pocket money

  1. Sheet Kapesne. Levers F1 reserve (0.1), F2 spending multiplier (1). Column H = =C2*$F$2 (model spending). I10 = total of H or the balance at the end of the week — one result number for the scenario.

  2. Data → Scenarios → Add. Name: Normal. Changing cells: F1,F2 (and optionally C3 for one day). Values: F1=0.1, F2=1. Watch the result I10.

  3. Second scenario Ice cream: F2=1.3, F1=0.1. Third Saving: F2=0.7.

  4. Show scenario Ice cream — I10 jumps. Show Normal — it comes back. The sheet is not overwritten forever, until you save the scenario again.

  5. Sheets may not have Scenario manager like Excel — then keep a scenario table J1:L4: columns Name, F2, Result with a formula =SUMA(C2:C8)*L2 and so on. You switch F2 by hand according to the row. The idea is the same.

💡

Change a scenario only on input cells (F1, F2), not formulas in H. Result I10 must be a formula, not a hardcoded number — otherwise the scenario does not lie, but it does not calculate either.

A summary report of scenarios

Excel: Data → Scenarios → Summary — a table of all scenarios vs. I10. In Sheets make a Result column by hand for each row J — the same effect.

What often goes wrong

Result cell = a number. The scenario overwrites inputs, the result does not move. I10 = a formula.

Too many changing cells. Start with F2. Then F1, one spending C5.

Forgotten return. After Ice cream put Normal back — otherwise you hand in the wrong week.

🏫 Grade average — a grade scenario

“What if English 3→2?” Cell B4 a scenario or a handmade copy in a scenario table: B4=2 vs 3, watch B8 average. Scenario manager in Excel on one cell B4.

💰 Pocket money — the main playground

Three scenarios F2. I10 balance or SUMA H. Compare in table J — which week do you survive?

📊 Class survey — a hypothesis

“What if 5 votes moved from nothing to apple?” A copy of column E, not scenario manager — a different type of model. Note the share difference.

🏆 Mini dashboard — only normal

The dashboard shows the current truth (F2=1). Leave scenarios on Kapesne in table J — the class does not see all the “what ifs”.

Now you 💪

First: three scenarios F2 (or table J) + result I10.

Second: a summary table: scenario name | F2 | result.

Check: Switching a scenario changes I10. The Normal scenario can be restored. Formulas in H untouched.

What to take from this lesson